「predictive」の検索結果

Expert data scientist for advanced analytics, machine learning, and statistical modeling. Handles complex data analysis, predictive modeling, and business intelligence. Use PROACTIVELY for data analysis tasks, ML modeling, statistical analysis, and data-driven insights.

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Master modern business analysis with AI-powered analytics, real-time dashboards, and data-driven insights. Build comprehensive KPI frameworks, predictive models, and strategic recommendations. Use PROACTIVELY for business intelligence or strategic analysis.

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Use for AI-assisted Unity work that needs live repo discovery, project-derived routing, runtime-owner proof, runtime-visible output hard stops, runtime numeric proof for repeated visible-output failures, state-step guards, multi-agent scope ownership, modular C#/asmdef safety, UI/scene/visual asset gates, data-first content changes, validation, cleanup proof, or durable workflow rules. Best when agents must prove the actual folder/module/scene/prefab/runtime owner before editing, especially runtime UI, generated assets, code graphs, tutorial/state flows, guided selection/action flows, overlay/dim source-bound mistakes, coordinate conversions, focus/highlight/marker/HUD alignment, predictive lead aiming, ballistic trajectories, spatial IoU verification, or repeated "fix still not visible" failures.

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Builds QSAR / QSPR models using chemprop D-MPNN, MolFormer, Uni-Mol, ChemBERTa, random forest baselines, and Gaussian processes with explicit handling of OECD 5 principles, applicability domain (kNN, leverage, conformal prediction, Mahalanobis), scaffold-balanced splits, ensemble uncertainty, calibration (Platt, isotonic), feature importance (SHAP, atomic attribution), and prospective validation. Use when building target-specific predictive models from in-house bioassay data, ADMET endpoints, or selectivity profiles.

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Designs Bayesian clinical trials including Phase I dose-finding (BOIN, CRM, EWOC, mTPI-2), meta-analytic-predictive (MAP) priors with robust mixtures for external data borrowing, EXNEX for basket trials, hierarchical models for safety AE (Berry-Berry), Bayesian platform trials (I-SPY 2, GBM AGILE, REMAP-CAP), and posterior probability stopping rules. Covers FDA Bayesian Devices Guidance (2010), FDA Bayesian Methodology in Drugs Draft (January 2026), BOIN Fit-for-Purpose qualification (December 2021), and Project Optimus dose-optimisation. Use when designing dose-finding studies, platform trials, or sensitivity analyses with informative priors.

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Build or review source-backed descriptive, diagnostic, predictive, and prescriptive analysis for consequential decisions. Use when an agent must profile and safely prepare uploaded data, turn a real dataset or research question into a reproducible study, investigate drivers without overstating causality, validate a model, compare feasible actions under dependent uncertainty and tail risk, trace every parameter to evidence and approval, or produce an answer-first analytical report across health, business, finance, policy, engineering, operations, behavioral science, AI, or planning.

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Use when the user asks to "design an experiment", "build a predictive model", "run A/B test analysis", "perform causal inference", "engineer features", "evaluate model performance", "set up MLOps pipeline", "analyze time series", "calculate sample size", or "deploy a model to production". Expert data science covering statistical modeling, experimentation, causal inference, feature engineering, ML deployment, and advanced analytics with Python, R, and SQL.

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Data science across machine learning, statistical modeling, and experimentation. Use when selecting ML algorithms, engineering features, designing A/B tests, evaluating model performance, or building predictive pipelines.

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Use when raw data exists — Meta, Google, TikTok, GA4, Shopify, a CRM export, or a spreadsheet — and has to become insight and decisions: descriptive, diagnostic, predictive, and prescriptive layers, cuts by channel, campaign, creative, audience, and time, cohorts, and a decision log. Trigger on 'analyze this data', 'read these numbers for me', 'what does this export say', 'pull insight from GA4', 'cohort analysis', 'here is the spreadsheet'. Also use when the user pastes a table and asks what it means. Not for — diagnosing ad root cause, see `03-performance-eval-global`; writing the report a stakeholder reads, see `07-marketing-report-global`; auditing account setup, see `21-ads-audit-global`.

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Bayesian modeling with PyMC 5: priors, likelihood, NUTS/ADVI sampling, diagnostics (R-hat, ESS), LOO/WAIC comparison, prediction. Hierarchical, logistic, GP variants; predictive checks.

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Provides AWS CloudFormation patterns for Auto Scaling including EC2, ECS, and Lambda. Use when creating Auto Scaling groups, launch configurations, launch templates, scaling policies, lifecycle hooks, and predictive scaling. Covers template structure with Parameters, Outputs, Mappings, Conditions, cross-stack references, and best practices for high availability and cost optimization.

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Analyze large-scale construction datasets. Process thousands of projects for patterns, benchmarks, and predictive insights.

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Forecast project outcomes using historical data: cost overruns, schedule delays, risk probabilities. Machine learning models for construction prediction.

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Designs Bayesian clinical trials including Phase I dose-finding (BOIN, CRM, EWOC, mTPI-2), meta-analytic-predictive (MAP) priors with robust mixtures for external data borrowing, EXNEX for basket trials, hierarchical models for safety AE (Berry-Berry), Bayesian platform trials (I-SPY 2, GBM AGILE, REMAP-CAP), and posterior probability stopping rules. Covers FDA Bayesian Devices Guidance (2010), FDA Bayesian Methodology in Drugs Draft (January 2026), BOIN Fit-for-Purpose qualification (December 2021), and Project Optimus dose-optimisation. Use when designing dose-finding studies, platform trials, or sensitivity analyses with informative priors.

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End-to-end EHR predictive modeling pipeline with PyHealth, covering dataset loading, task definition, model training, evaluation, calibration, and clinical interpretation.

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Workflow for predictive modeling, biomarker discovery, survival modeling, and explainability over omics-derived features.

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Think and work like an expert Histologist. Use when a task calls for Histologist judgment. Reasons from fixation-through-stain pre-analytical chain (NBF, grossing, processing, embedding orientation, microtomy); validates H&E pH/QC, CAP IHC (90% concordance, predictive scoring systems), RNAscope controls, WSI (60-case validation), and treats floaters, autolysis, crush, ice-crystal, and decalcification artifacts as first-class failure modes.

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Think and work like an expert Bayesian Statistician. Use when a task calls for Bayesian Statistician judgment. Reasons from Bayes' rule, coherent uncertainty, exchangeability, and partial-pooling hierarchy through Stan/PyMC HMC-NUTS fits, prior and posterior predictive checks, PSIS-LOO, and SBC calibration while treating divergent transitions and funnels, weak identifiability and label switching, improper posteriors, and post-hoc prior tuning as first-class failure modes.

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Patterns for feedback control systems including PID tuning, state-space control, Model Predictive Control (MPC), trajectory tracking, and stability analysis. Covers both classical and modern control approaches for robotics and automation. Use when ", " mentioned.

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Build and maintain digital twins - virtual representations of physical systems that synchronize with real-world counterparts for monitoring, prediction, and optimization. Use when "digital twin, virtual model, real-time synchronization, physical-virtual coupling, predictive maintenance, asset modeling, system replica, live simulation, " mentioned.

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The fusion of trend prediction and AI content generation: detecting emerging trends before they peak and generating content that rides—or creates—the wave. This is marketing alchemy, transmuting data signals into viral gold. Traditional trend marketing is reactive: see trend, create content, hope you're not too late. AI Trend Alchemy is predictive: detect signal, generate content, be there as the wave crests. The combination of AI trend detection and AI content generation creates a feedback loop that can outpace human competition. This skill combines data science intuition with creative generation, reading the digital tea leaves while simultaneously conjuring the content that captures the moment. It's part analyst, part creator, part prophet. Use when "trend, trending, viral, predict, emerging, what's next, cultural moment, before it peaks, early signal, catch the wave, trend prediction, going viral, trend, prediction, viral, cultural, emerging, timing, alchemy, detection" mentioned.

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Andrew von Nagy 视角 — 高密度 Wi-Fi 工程的容量优先设计学派代表 (Revolution Wi-Fi 博客, ex-Target Senior Wireless Architect, 现 Nile Principal Architect, CCIE-Wireless + CWNE). 加载后让 AI 用「capacity-first」「retry-rate-over-RSSI」「predictive-must-validate」「client-is-weakest-link」「spectrum-is-shared」五大镜片诊断企业 Wi-Fi 问题, 特别是高密度场景 (≥30 客户端共享区域, 典型 80 人办公室). 触发词: 「按 von Nagy 看」「capacity-first 怎么算」「这个密度问题」「为啥 RSSI 好还是慢」「airtime budget」「retry rate 怎么看」「这个高密怎么设计」.

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招聘与猎头 (招聘与猎头 (Recruiting & Executive Search) — 面向甲方招聘负责人/HR 与市场化猎头顾问「双侧视角」的『把一个模糊的用人需求，变成一个来得了、干得好、留得住的人』的判断体系；不是候选人一侧的求职与简历面经（那是 job-hunting-coach 的范围），也不是薪酬绩效/员工关系/组织发展的泛 HR 全模块，更不是劳动法条文解读。覆盖：(a) 第一性张力 —— 这行的核心世界观分歧：**需求诊断优先 ⇄ 快速供给优先**（用人经理提来的岗位需求几乎总是一张愿望清单，资深招聘先开 intake 会把『必须有』与『最好有』拆开、把画像逼成可证伪的成功标准；但按成单计酬的猎头把诊断时间压不进单价里，于是行业里同时存在『先诊断再搜寻』和『先扔简历再说』两种作业习惯）；**结构化面试 ⇄ 看人的直觉**（工业与组织心理学近一个世纪的效度元分析一致指向：结构化面试、工作样本、认知能力测验的预测效度明显高于非结构化面谈与经验年限，但一线用人经理绝大多数仍相信自己聊两句就能看准人——这是本行最大的知行落差，也是所有循证招聘流派的出发点；顺带一提，业内长期奉为圭臬的 Schmidt-Hunter 效度排序近年被重新校正，工作样本的效度被下调，这场修正本身就是本行必须如实呈现的争议）；**能力素质 ⇄ 文化匹配**（culture fit 既是最常被写在拒信里的理由，也是被批评得最凶的偏见外壳，Google 一派主张改口叫 culture add，看的是这个人补上了团队缺的东西，而不是像不像我们）；**主动寻访 sourcing ⇄ 被动投递漏斗**（高端与稀缺技能岗只有 outbound 人才地图一条路；量大岗位靠渠道效率、转化率与自动化，两条路的技能树几乎不重叠）；**人才地图是资产 ⇄ 人才地图是浪费**（保留制猎头把 mapping 当交付物的一部分，成功付费猎头认为地图做完单子已经黄了）；**保留制 retained ⇄ 成功付费 contingency**（按阶段预付、独家、深度地图 vs 多家赛马、入职才收钱、速度压倒深度；两种商业模式塑造出两种截然不同的作业节奏、候选人对待方式与职业道德边界，比如 off-limits 不挖回自己安置过的人）；**内部招聘团队 ⇄ 外部猎头与 RPO**（成本、速度、知识沉淀、雇主品牌归属谁的长期争论；embedded recruiter 是近年的折中）；**候选人体验 ⇄ 筛选效率**（漏斗越严体验越差，被拒者也是客户与口碑）；**AI 筛选的效率 ⇄ 合规与偏见**（简历解析、AI 面试评分、自动排序已在大规模使用，同时被监管盯上：纽约市 Local Law 144 要求自动化决策工具做偏见审计并公示、欧盟 AI 法案把招聘划为高风险场景、伊利诺伊州对 AI 视频面试单独立法；业内既离不开它，也在诉讼与审计里学做记录）；**offer 谈判的锚定 ⇄ 薪酬透明**（多地薪酬区间披露立法把谈判起点从『你现在多少』改成『这个岗位值多少』，问薪酬历史在不少法域已被禁止）；**counter-offer 该不该接**（猎头几乎一致反对，认为留下来的人多数一年内还是会走，但这条业内定论的证据基础本身也在被质疑）；**入职后早期流失算谁的**（保证期与退款条款把这场争论直接写进了合同）。(b) 工具栈 —— 申请人追踪系统 ATS（Greenhouse、Lever、Ashby、Workday Recruiting、SmartRecruiters、iCIMS、Taleo，中国侧 Moka、北森、大易、e成）、猎头 CRM 与交付系统（Bullhorn、Vincere、Loxo、Clockwork、Recruit CRM）、寻访与触达（LinkedIn Recruiter、SeekOut、hireEZ、Amazing Hiring、GitHub 与学术检索，中国侧 BOSS 直聘、猎聘、脉脉、拉勾、牛客）、评估与测评（HackerRank、CodeSignal、CoderPad、结构化面试题库与 scorecard 评分卡、Hogan、SHL、Predictive Index、Criteria、案例作业与工作样本）、面试调度与视频（GoodTime、Calendly、HireVue、Spark Hire）、背景调查与合规（HireRight、Checkr、Sterling，中国侧 i背调、八方锦程，以及个人信息保护法与 GDPR 下的授权链、FCRA 的不利行动通知）、数据与漏斗分析（time to fill 与 time to hire 的口径差异、offer 接受率、通过率与转化漏斗、quality of hire 的度量困境、招聘成本 cost per hire 的口径战争）、以及最被低估的纸笔工具（intake 提纲、成功标准清单、scorecard、人才地图表格、Boolean 检索式、一页纸的岗位价值主张）—— 选型的真正分岔从来不是功能清单，而是『你的岗位是靠触达赢还是靠转化赢』。(c) 心智模型层 —— 招聘是一次双向销售而不是一场考试；岗位画像要写成结果（这个人半年内要做成什么）而不是资历清单；信号与噪音（公司名与学历是弱信号，工作样本与具体行为证据是强信号）；结构化与评分卡的意义在于让判断可比而不是显得严谨；漏斗每一层都在丢人，所以要从入职倒推触达量；稀缺人才不看招聘广告，只在熟人与私域里流动；offer 是谈判也是承诺，谈崩与反悔的代价高度不对称；招聘的质量要到入职之后才结算。(d) 工作流 —— intake 需求诊断会、岗位画像与成功标准、渠道策略与人才地图 mapping、Boolean 与主动触达、简历筛选与电话初筛、结构化面试与 debrief 定校准、工作样本与技术评估、reference check 与背调、offer 设计与谈判、counter-offer 应对、入职前 no-show 防范与 pre-boarding、试用期与早期留存复盘、招聘漏斗与数据复盘、以及岗位关闭或撤销时的收尾。(e) 表达 DNA、质量基准（什么算一次好的招聘）、反模式（外行与新手最容易犯的错：照抄 JD、面试问脑筋急转弯、用薪酬历史锚定、把候选人当库存、背调走过场、offer 口头承诺）、智识谱系（工业与组织心理学的效度学派、循证与结构化招聘派、保留制高管寻访派、增长型 sourcing 与招聘运营派、雇主品牌与候选人体验派、中国互联网大厂的人才盘点与赛马派）。) Master OS — automated mastery of 招聘与猎头 (Recruiting & Executive Search) — 面向甲方招聘负责人/HR 与市场化猎头顾问「双侧视角」的『把一个模糊的用人需求，变成一个来得了、干得好、留得住的人』的判断体系；不是候选人一侧的求职与简历面经（那是 job-hunting-coach 的范围），也不是薪酬绩效/员工关系/组织发展的泛 HR 全模块，更不是劳动法条文解读。覆盖：(a) 第一性张力 —— 这行的核心世界观分歧：**需求诊断优先 ⇄ 快速供给优先**（用人经理提来的岗位需求几乎总是一张愿望清单，资深招聘先开 intake 会把『必须有』与『最好有』拆开、把画像逼成可证伪的成功标准；但按成单计酬的猎头把诊断时间压不进单价里，于是行业里同时存在『先诊断再搜寻』和『先扔简历再说』两种作业习惯）；**结构化面试 ⇄ 看人的直觉**（工业与组织心理学近一个世纪的效度元分析一致指向：结构化面试、工作样本、认知能力测验的预测效度明显高于非结构化面谈与经验年限，但一线用人经理绝大多数仍相信自己聊两句就能看准人——这是本行最大的知行落差，也是所有循证招聘流派的出发点；顺带一提，业内长期奉为圭臬的 Schmidt-Hunter 效度排序近年被重新校正，工作样本的效度被下调，这场修正本身就是本行必须如实呈现的争议）；**能力素质 ⇄ 文化匹配**（culture fit 既是最常被写在拒信里的理由，也是被批评得最凶的偏见外壳，Google 一派主张改口叫 culture add，看的是这个人补上了团队缺的东西，而不是像不像我们）；**主动寻访 sourcing ⇄ 被动投递漏斗**（高端与稀缺技能岗只有 outbound 人才地图一条路；量大岗位靠渠道效率、转化率与自动化，两条路的技能树几乎不重叠）；**人才地图是资产 ⇄ 人才地图是浪费**（保留制猎头把 mapping 当交付物的一部分，成功付费猎头认为地图做完单子已经黄了）；**保留制 retained ⇄ 成功付费 contingency**（按阶段预付、独家、深度地图 vs 多家赛马、入职才收钱、速度压倒深度；两种商业模式塑造出两种截然不同的作业节奏、候选人对待方式与职业道德边界，比如 off-limits 不挖回自己安置过的人）；**内部招聘团队 ⇄ 外部猎头与 RPO**（成本、速度、知识沉淀、雇主品牌归属谁的长期争论；embedded recruiter 是近年的折中）；**候选人体验 ⇄ 筛选效率**（漏斗越严体验越差，被拒者也是客户与口碑）；**AI 筛选的效率 ⇄ 合规与偏见**（简历解析、AI 面试评分、自动排序已在大规模使用，同时被监管盯上：纽约市 Local Law 144 要求自动化决策工具做偏见审计并公示、欧盟 AI 法案把招聘划为高风险场景、伊利诺伊州对 AI 视频面试单独立法；业内既离不开它，也在诉讼与审计里学做记录）；**offer 谈判的锚定 ⇄ 薪酬透明**（多地

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Builds end-to-end predictive modeling pipelines on tabular datasets—data exploration, preprocessing, baseline modeling, and mandatory optimization—producing valid saved predictions in the required output format. Use for any supervised machine learning or data modeling task, including classification and regression on tabular data, Kaggle-style competitions or submission-file challenges, training a model to predict a target from features, or requests to fit/tune/evaluate models with scikit-learn, XGBoost, Random Forest, Logistic Regression, and similar non-deep-learning methods. Runs fully automated end-to-end without asking the user for intermediate decisions.

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