「hypothesis」の検索結果

Write or refine a research hypothesis. Use when the user says "write a hypothesis", "frame my hypothesis", "is my hypothesis testable", "null and alternative hypothesis", "research hypothesis", "refine my hypothesis", "hypothesis statement", "H0 and H1", "operationalize my hypothesis", "turn my research question into a hypothesis", or needs to convert a research question or intuition into a falsifiable, testable hypothesis with clear variables and predictions - even if they don't explicitly say "hypothesis".

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管理咨询 (管理咨询 (Management Consulting) — 战略与管理咨询的职业认知操作系统，从业者/咨询顾问/想入行者/采购咨询服务的客户视角。覆盖: (a) 第一性张力 — 假设驱动 (hypothesis-driven / answer-first / Day-1 answer) 的「先有答案再验证」⇄ 数据驱动 (data-led / bottom-up) 的「先穷尽事实再归纳」，这行的核心张力是「先射箭再画靶 vs 先画靶再射箭」，资深人偏 top-down 假设树减少 boil-the-ocean，但要时刻防 confirmation bias; 以及更深层的张力 — 「卖洞见 (insight / so-what) vs 卖工时 (analysis / 体力)」，「客户影响 (client impact / 落地) vs 智识严谨 (intellectual rigor / 漂亮 deck)」; (b) 方法论正典 (最标准化、最易蒸出高质量) — MECE (相互独立完全穷尽)、issue tree / logic tree (问题树/逻辑树)、hypothesis-driven problem solving (假设驱动)、Pyramid Principle (Minto 金字塔原理: SCQA 情境-冲突-疑问-回答 + 结论先行 + 自上而下 + 归纳/演绎)、80/20 (帕累托/抓大放小)、so-what (所以呢/洞见提炼)、storyline (故事线/ghost deck 鬼影稿)、driver tree / profit tree、2x2 矩阵、value chain、frameworks (Porter 五力/3C/4P/7S/BCG 矩阵/价值链) 既是脚手架也是陷阱 (套框架 vs 真洞见); (c) 行业结构 — MBB (McKinsey/BCG/Bain 战略三巨头) vs Big Four 咨询臂 (Deloitte/PwC Strategy&/EY-Parthenon/KPMG) vs 精品战略所 (Oliver Wyman/Kearney/Roland Berger/L.E.K./Arthur D. Little) vs 专业/职能 boutique (运营/数字化/PE 尽调); up-or-out (非升即走)、leverage model (杠杆模型: 1 个合伙人带多个 EM/咨询师/分析师的金字塔)、partner/principal/EM(项目经理)/associate(咨询师)/analyst(分析师) 职级; (d) 项目交付模型 (the case/study/engagement) — 提案/SOW (scope of work)、problem definition (问题定义/真问题 vs 表象问题)、workplan (工作计划)、hypothesis tree (假设树)、analysis (分析/建模)、synthesis (综合)、recommendation (建议)、implementation (落地); 客户管理 (steering committee 指导委员会、stakeholder 利益相关方、对齐); (e) 产出物 — the deck (PPT 幻灯片是咨询的母语)、executive summary、action title (行动标题/每页一句话结论)、ghost deck (先搭骨架后填数据)、Excel 财务模型、framework 图; (f) 职业/招聘 — case interview 生态 (案例面试: Victor Cheng LOMS/Case in Point/market sizing 市场估算/估算题/fit 行为面)、网申-笔试-案例面、up-or-out、exit options (退出路径: PE/VC/corp dev 企业发展/战略岗/创业/industry); (g) 争议/批判 — 咨询的价值之辩 (「借你的表告诉你时间」「frameworks 是剧场表演 vs 真洞见」Matthew Stewart《The Management Myth》)、McKinsey 的丑闻 (Purdue 阿片类/独裁政府/ICE/利益冲突, Bogdanich & Forsythe《When McKinsey Comes to Town》)、咨询 vs 自建战略部、generalist 通才 vs specialist 专才之争、AI/GenAI 对初级分析师工作的冲击; (h) 流派 — 战略经典 (Porter 定位学派/五力 vs 资源基础观 RBV vs 蓝海战略 Kim&Mauborgne vs 颠覆式创新 Christensen vs Mintzberg 应急战略批判 planning school); 三巨头气质分野 (McKinsey 事实驱动/CEO 信任/通才, BCG 概念/思想领导力/经验曲线/增长-份额矩阵, Bain 结果导向/NPS 净推荐值/PE 关系/与客户深度绑定)。不含: 投行 M&A/财务顾问 (估值/承销超出范畴)、纯 IT 实施/系统集成 (SI 人力外包)、纯审计/税务、纯人力 RPO/猎头、内部战略部 only (虽相关但本 skill 聚焦专业服务咨询的外部视角)。) Master OS — automated mastery of 管理咨询 (Management Consulting) — 战略与管理咨询的职业认知操作系统，从业者/咨询顾问/想入行者/采购咨询服务的客户视角。覆盖: (a) 第一性张力 — 假设驱动 (hypothesis-driven / answer-first / Day-1 answer) 的「先有答案再验证」⇄ 数据驱动 (data-led / bottom-up) 的「先穷尽事实再归纳」，这行的核心张力是「先射箭再画靶 vs 先画靶再射箭」，资深人偏 top-down 假设树减少 boil-the-ocean，但要时刻防 confirmation bias; 以及更深层的张力 — 「卖洞见 (insight / so-what) vs 卖工时 (analysis / 体力)」，「客户影响 (client impact / 落地) vs 智识严谨 (intellectual rigor / 漂亮 deck)」; (b) 方法论正典 (最标准化、最易蒸出高质量) — MECE (相互独立完全穷尽)、issue tree / logic tree (问题树/逻辑树)、hypothesis-driven problem solving (假设驱动)、Pyramid Principle (Minto 金字塔原理: SCQA 情境-冲突-疑问-回答 + 结论先行 + 自上而下 + 归纳/演绎)、80/20 (帕累托/抓大放小)、so-what (所以呢/洞见提炼)、storyline (故事线/ghost deck 鬼影稿)、driver tree / profit tree、2x2 矩阵、value chain、frameworks (Porter 五力/3C/4P/7S/BCG 矩阵/价值链) 既是脚手架也是陷阱 (套框架 vs 真洞见); (c) 行业结构 — MBB (McKinsey/BCG/Bain 战略三巨头) vs Big Four 咨询臂 (Deloitte/PwC Strategy&/EY-Parthenon/KPMG) vs 精品战略所 (Oliver Wyman/Kearney/Roland Berger/L.E.K./Arthur D. Little) vs 专业/职能 boutique (运营/数字化/PE 尽调); up-or-out (非升即走)、leverage model (杠杆模型: 1 个合伙人带多个 EM/咨询师/分析师的金字塔)、partner/principal/EM(项目经理)/associate(咨询师)/analyst(分析师) 职级; (d) 项目交付模型 (the case/study/engagement) — 提案/SOW (scope of work)、problem definition (问题定义/真问题 vs 表象问题)、workplan (工作计划)、hypothesis tree (假设树)、analysis (分析/建模)、synthesis (综合)、recommendation (建议)、implementation (落地); 客户管理 (steering committee 指导委员会、stakeholder 利益相关方、对齐); (e) 产出物 — the deck (PPT 幻灯片是咨询的母语)、executive summary、action title (行动标题/每页一句话结论)、ghost deck (先搭骨架后填数据)、Excel 财务模型、framework 图; (f) 职业/招聘 — case interview 生态 (案例面试: Victor Cheng LOMS/Case in Point/market sizing 市场估算/估算题/fit 行为面)、网申-笔试-案例面、up-or-out、exit options (退出路径: PE/VC/corp dev 企业发展/战略岗/创业/industry); (g) 争议/批判 — 咨询的

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Frames a structured, testable threat-hunting hypothesis: grounding it in adversary behavior and available telemetry, defining the data sources and detection logic, and setting success criteria and outcomes. Activates for requests to start a threat hunt, write a hunt hypothesis, or plan a hypothesis-driven hunt.

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Conduct proactive, hypothesis-driven threat hunts — search SIEM / EDR / logs for adversaries who haven't tripped an alert yet. ATT&CK-driven, hypothesis-based methodology. Use when the user mentions 'threat hunting,' 'proactive hunt,' 'TaHiTI,' 'PEAK framework,' 'MITRE ATT&CK hunt,' 'hypothesis-driven hunt,' 'hunt hypothesis,' 'living off the land,' 'LOLBins,' 'beaconing,' 'lateral movement detection,' 'data staging,' 'persistence hunting,' or wants to find threats that have evaded existing detections.

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LLM-driven hypothesis generation/testing on tabular data. Three methods: HypoGeniC (data-driven), HypoRefine (literature+data), Union. Iterative refinement, Redis caching, multi-hypothesis inference. Manual: hypothesis-generation; ideation: scientific-brainstorming.

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Automated LLM-driven hypothesis generation and testing on tabular datasets. Use when you want to systematically explore hypotheses about patterns in empirical data (e.g., deception detection, content analysis). Combines literature insights with data-driven hypothesis testing. For manual hypothesis formulation use hypothesis-generation; for creative ideation use scientific-brainstorming.

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This skill should be used when the user wants to "test a claim against data", "validate an empirical hypothesis", "refine a model/theory with evidence", "characterize a pattern and verify it", "演繹と帰納で検証", "仮説をデータで検証して更新", "実例と反例で確かめる", "弁証法ループ", "主張を現物で裏取り", "傾向分析を検証して精緻化", or mentions iteratively updating a hypothesis by deriving predictions and testing them against a real corpus. NOTE: Use this for VALIDATING/REFINING an empirical claim or model against real data through a derive→test→update loop. Use strong-inference for debugging an UNKNOWN cause, and devils-advocate for adversarially stress-testing a DESIGN proposal.

Plans and audits use of ChicagoHAI HypoGeniC/HypoRefine for LLM-assisted hypothesis generation from labeled text datasets. Use for the `hypogenic` package, its task configs, hypothesis banks, or HypoBench datasets—not for manual hypothesis formulation or scientific validation.

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Structured hypothesis formulation from observations. Use when you have experimental observations or data and need to formulate testable hypotheses with predictions, propose mechanisms, and design experiments to test them. Follows scientific method framework. For open-ended ideation use scientific-brainstorming; for automated LLM-driven hypothesis testing on datasets use hypogenic.

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Structured hypothesis formulation from observations. Use when you have experimental observations or data and need to formulate testable hypotheses with predictions, propose mechanisms, and design experiments to test them. Follows scientific method framework. For open-ended ideation use scientific-brainstorming; for automated LLM-driven hypothesis testing on datasets use hypogenic.

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Structured hypothesis formulation from observations. Use when you have experimental observations or data and need to formulate testable hypotheses with predictions, propose mechanisms, and design experiments to test them. Also owns explicit HypoGeniC-style or automated LLM-driven hypothesis generation/testing requests inside this single skill. For open-ended ideation use scientific-brainstorming.

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Property-based testing with Hypothesis for discovering edge cases and validating invariants. Use when implementing comprehensive test coverage, testing complex logic with many inputs, or validating mathematical properties and invariants across input domains. Triggered by: hypothesis, property-based testing, @given, strategies, generative testing.

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Apply lean thinking to UX: hypothesis-driven design, collaborative sketching, and rapid experiments instead of heavy deliverables. Use when the user mentions "Lean UX", "design hypothesis", "outcome over output", "design studio method", "assumption mapping", "lightweight research", "too much design documentation", or "get the team designing together". Also trigger when reducing design-documentation overhead, getting cross-functional teams to co-design, or running fast usability experiments. Covers hypothesis statements, MVPs for UX, and cross-functional collaboration. For Build-Measure-Learn, see lean-startup. For usability audits, see ux-heuristics.

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Designs primary aims, secondary aims, and testable hypotheses from broad biomedical research ideas. Use this skill when a user needs to convert a loose study idea into a tighter protocol-framing structure with clear aim hierarchy, hypothesis discipline, and separation between hypothesis-driven and exploratory components. Always keep aims answerable, non-overlapping, and aligned to the intended evidence type and study scope.

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Run conversion rate optimization through hypothesis-driven testing including audit, hypothesis generation, test design, statistical analysis, and rollout decisions. Use this skill whenever the user wants to optimize conversion, run A/B tests, audit a funnel, generate test hypotheses, design experiments, or analyze test results. Triggers on conversion optimization, CRO, A/B test, split test, multivariate test, hypothesis, conversion funnel, funnel audit, experiment design, statistical significance, lift, optimization. Also triggers when the user has a conversion problem and isn't sure where to start, or when test results are ambiguous and need interpretation.

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A discipline for designing experiments (A/B tests, multivariate, holdouts) so the results actually answer the question you asked. Hypothesis writing, sample size, duration, segment analysis, running discipline, matching a result to a pre-committed decision rule, and the common failure modes that produce confidently wrong shipping decisions. Use this skill whenever the user is planning a test that has not run yet: framing a hypothesis, sizing the sample, setting duration, choosing guardrails, or deciding whether something is worth testing at all. Triggers on design an experiment, experiment plan, A/B test, split test, multivariate test, holdout, experiment hypothesis, sample size, minimum detectable effect, MDE, test duration, guardrail metric, no peeking, pre-committed decision rule, is this worth testing. Use `experimentation-analytics` instead when the test has already run and the question is how to read the result panel.

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Structured hypothesis formulation: turn observations into testable hypotheses with predictions, propose mechanisms, design experiments. Follows the scientific method. Use scientific-brainstorming for open ideation; hypogenic for automated LLM hypothesis testing on datasets.

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Retroductive hypothesis sampling via MCMC: given observations, importance-sample explanations weighted by P(observation|hypothesis) using Gay.jl colored particles as hypothesis candidates.

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Enforce mandatory pre-action verification checkpoints to prevent pattern-matching from overriding explicit reasoning. Use this skill when about to execute implementation actions (Bash, Write, Edit) to verify hypothesis-action alignment. Blocks execution when hypothesis unverified or action targets different system than hypothesis identified. Critical for preventing cognitive dissonance where correct diagnosis leads to wrong implementation.

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Analysis of Competing Hypotheses. Operationalizes Richards Heuer's CIA-tradition technique for systematically narrowing among multiple hypotheses against evidence. Builds an explicit hypothesis-vs-evidence matrix and focuses on disconfirmation rather than confirmation — the central insight: hypotheses cannot be proven, only disconfirmed; the surviving hypothesis is the one with the least disconfirming evidence. Spawns parallel hypothesizers (in isolation, across hypothesis-generation angles) and parallel evidence-gatherers (across evidence classes), then synthesizes into a matrix, diagnosticity analysis, sensitivity analysis, and falsification milestones. Produces feedback only — no code, no tickets, no artifacts.

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Build a systematic threat hunt hypothesis framework that transforms threat intelligence, attack patterns, and environmental data into testable hunting hypotheses.

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Build a systematic threat hunt hypothesis framework that transforms threat intelligence, attack patterns, and environmental data into testable hunting hypotheses.

日本語の概要は準備中です。原文の説明を表示しています。

Build a systematic threat hunt hypothesis framework that transforms threat intelligence, attack patterns, and environmental data into testable hunting hypotheses.

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Build a systematic threat-hunt workflow that turns threat intelligence and ATT&CK gap analysis into testable hypotheses, then executes and validates them via EDR/SIEM queries (CrowdStrike, Defender, Splunk, Elastic, Sysmon, Velociraptor, Sigma) and documents findings in a standardized hunt report. Use when planning or running a proactive threat hunt or scoping compromise from an intel- or anomaly-driven lead.

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